Publications

Bold = Eco-Evo Theory group member
Asterisk * = equal contribution
Preprints
Spatial structure drives the evolution of parasites into host defense systems
Nazir SA, Ashby B, Leeks A & van Dijk B
Preparing for the next pandemic takes more than better models: expert consensus recommendations for infectious disease modelling
Stellbrink L et al.
Sublethal immune resistance to parasites generates reaction-norm patterns indistinguishable from tolerance
Seppälä O & Ashby B
Journal articles: 2026 onwards
Microbial Primer: Understanding the exponential growth of epidemics
King KC, Saad-Roy CM, Coombs D & Ashby B (2026) Microbial Primer: Understanding the exponential growth of epidemics. Microbiology. 172:001723
Guarding versus self-guarding in innate immunity
Ashby B & Anderson A (2026) Guarding versus self-guarding in innate immunity. Evolution.
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Coevolutionary cycling in allele frequencies and the evolution of virulence
Kim YS & Ashby B (2026) Coevolutionary cycling in allele frequencies and the evolution of virulence. Evolution. 80:282-290.
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Journal articles: 2021-2025
The evolution of parasite virulence in the presence of resistance-conferring defensive symbionts
Smith CA, Renegado S & Ashby B (2025) The evolution of parasite virulence in the presence of resistance-conferring defensive symbionts. J. Evol. Biol. 39:1050-1058.
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Adaptive dynamics
Ashby B & Best A (2025) Adaptive dynamics. Reference Module in Life Sciences
Efficient coupling of within- and between-host infectious disease dynamics
Smith CA & Ashby B (2025) Efficient coupling of within- and between-host infectious disease dynamics. J. Theor. Biol. 602-603:112061.
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Diagnostic testing and the evolution of detection avoidance by pathogens
Wood J & Ashby B (2024) Diagnostic testing and the evolution of detection avoidance by pathogens. Evol. Med. Pub. Health. 12:248–259.
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Coevolution of age-structured tolerance and virulence
Buckingham LJ & Ashby B (2024) Coevolution of age-structured tolerance and virulence. Bull. Math. Biol. 86:62
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Separation of Evolutionary Timescales in Coevolving Species
Buckingham LJ & Ashby B (2024) Separation of Evolutionary Timescales in Coevolving Species. J. Theor. Biol. 579:111688.
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Hyperparasitism and the evolution of parasite virulence
Wood J & Ashby B (2023) Hyperparasitism and the evolution of parasite virulence. Evolution. 77:2631–2641.
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Tolerance-conferring defensive symbionts and the evolution of parasite virulence
Smith CA & Ashby B (2023) Tolerance-conferring defensive symbionts and the evolution of parasite virulence. Evol. Lett. 4:262-272.
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Non-pharmaceutical interventions and the emergence of pathogen variants
Ashby B, Smith CA & Thompson RN (2023) Non-pharmaceutical interventions and the emergence of pathogen variants. Evol. Med. Pub. Health. 11:80-89.
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Antigenic evolution of SARS-CoV-2 in immunocompromised hosts
Smith CA & Ashby B (2023) Antigenic evolution of SARS-CoV-2 in immunocompromised hosts. Evol Med Pub Health. 11:90-100.
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How do fluctuating ecological dynamics impact the evolution of hosts and parasites?
Best A & Ashby B (2023) How do fluctuating ecological dynamics impact the evolution of hosts and parasites? Phil Trans R Soc B. 378: 20220006.
The evolution of the age of onset of resistance to infectious disease
Buckingham LJ & Ashby B (2023) The evolution of the age of onset of resistance to infectious disease. Bull. Math. Biol. 85:42
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The evolution of age-specific resistance to infectious disease
Buckingham LJ, Bruns EL & Ashby B (2023) The evolution of age-specific resistance to infectious disease. Proc. R. Soc. B. 290:20222000
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Spatially structured eco-evolutionary dynamics in a host-pathogen interaction render isolated populations vulnerable to disease
Höckerstedt L*, Numminen E*, Ashby B*, Boots M, Norberg A & Laine AL (2022) Spatially structured eco-evolutionary dynamics in a host-pathogen interaction render isolated populations vulnerable to disease. Nat Comm. 13:6018
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Critical weaknesses in shielding strategies for COVID-19
Smith CA, Yates CA & Ashby B (2022) Critical weaknesses in shielding strategies for COVID-19. PLOS Glob Public Health 2:e0000298.
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Social information use shapes the coevolution of sociality and virulence
Ashby B & Farine D (2022) Social information use shapes the coevolution of sociality and virulence. Evolution. 76:1153-1169.
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Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics
Kretzschmar ME, Ashby B, Fearon E, Overton CE, Panovska-Griffiths J, Pellis L, Quaife M, Rozhnova G, Scarabel F, Stage HB, Swallow B, Thompson RN, Tildesley MJ & Villela D (2022) Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics. Epidemics. 38:100546.
Coevolutionary theory of hosts and parasites
Buckingham LJ & Ashby B (2022). Coevolutionary theory of hosts and parasites. J. Evol. Biol. 35:205-224.
Does differential mortality after parental investment affect sex ratio evolution? No.
Pirrie A & Ashby B (2021). Does differential mortality after parental investment affect sex ratio evolution? No. Evolution. 75:3175-3180.
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How do sex biases in demography and disease characteristics affect the spread of sexually transmitted infections?
Halimubieke N*, Pirrie A*, Székely T & Ashby B. How do sex biases in demography and disease characteristics affect the spread of sexually transmitted infections? J. Theor. Biol. 527:110832.
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Evolutionarily stable strategies are well-studied in periodically fluctuating populations
Best A & Ashby B (2021) Evolutionarily stable strategies are well-studied in periodically fluctuating populations. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA. 118:e2102001118.
Herd immunity
Ashby B & Best A (2021) Herd immunity. Curr. Biol. 31:R174-R177.
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Journal articles: 2016-2020
Measuring Coevolutionary Dynamics in Species-Rich Communities
Hall AR, Ashby B, Bascompte J & King KC (2020) Measuring Coevolutionary Dynamics in Species-Rich Communities. Trends. Ecol. Evol. 35:539-550.
When does parasitism maintain sex in the absence of Red Queen Dynamics?
Ashby B (2020) When does parasitism maintain sex in the absence of Red Queen Dynamics? J. Evol. Biol. 33:1795-1805.
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Key Questions for Modelling COVID-19 Exit Strategies
Thompson RN, Hollingsworth TD, Isham V, Arribas-Bel D, Ashby B, Britton T, Challenor P, Chappell LHK, Clapham H, Cunniffe NJ, Dawid AP, Donnelly CA, Eggo RM, Funk S, Gilbert N, Glendinning P, Gog JR, Hart WS, Heesterbeek H, House T, Keeling M, Kiss IZ, Kretzschmar ME, Lloyd AL, McBryde ES, McCaw JM, McKinley TJ, Miller JC, Morris M, O’Neill PD, Parag KV, Pearson CAB, Pellis L, Pulliam JRC, Ross JV, Scalia Tomba G, Silverman BW, Struchiner CJ, Tildesley MJ, Trapman P, Webb CR, Mollison D & Restif O (2020) Key Questions for Modelling COVID-19 Exit Strategies. Proc. R. Soc. B. 287:20201405.
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An inordinate fondness for species with intermediate dispersal abilities
Ashby B*, Shaw A* & Kokko H (2020) An inordinate fondness for species with intermediate dispersal abilities. Oikos. 129:311-319.
Featured as the Editor’s Choice article for this issue of Oikos.
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Antagonistic coevolution between hosts and sexually transmitted infections
Ashby B (2020) Antagonistic coevolution between hosts and sexually transmitted infections. Evolution. 74: 43-56.
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Transposition: A CRISPR way to get around
Dimitriu T, Ashby B & Westra ER (2019) Transposition: A CRISPR way to get around. Curr. Biol. 29:R886-889.
Understanding the role of eco-evolutionary feedbacks in host-parasite coevolution
Ashby B, Iritani R, Best A, White AR & Boots M (2019) Understanding the role of eco-evolutionary feedbacks in host-parasite coevolution. J. Theor. Biol. 464:115-125.
The evolution of juvenile susceptibility to infectious disease
Ashby B & Bruns E (2018) The evolution of juvenile susceptibility to infectious disease. Proc. R. Soc. B. 285:20180844.
Mutual fitness benefits arise during coevolution in a nematode-defensive microbe model
Rafaluk-Mohr C, Ashby B, Dahan D & King K (2018) Mutual fitness benefits arise during coevolution in a nematode-defensive microbe model. Evol. Lett. 2:246-256.
Read abstractRead online (opens in a new tab)PDFBlog: ‘Guarding Hosts from Parasite Attack – The Rapid Evolution of a Defensive Mutualism’ (opens in a new tab)
The effect of extrinsic mortality on genome size evolution in prokaryotes
Bentkowski P, van Oosterhout C, Ashby B & Mock T (2017) The effect of extrinsic mortality on genome size evolution in prokaryotes. ISME. 11:1011-1018.
Read abstractRead online (opens in a new tab)PDFFaculty of 1000 (F1000) recommendation (opens in a new tab)
Host–parasite fluctuating selection in the absence of specificity
Best A, Ashby B, White A, Bowers R, Buckling A, Koskella B & Boots M (2017) Host–parasite fluctuating selection in the absence of specificity. Proc. R. Soc. B. 284:20171615.
Competing species leave many potential niches unfilled
Ashby B*, Watkins ER*, Lorenço J, Gupta S & Foster KR (2017) Competing species leave many potential niches unfilled. Nature Ecol. Evol. 1:1495-1501.
Read abstractRead online (opens in a new tab)PDFAccompanying commentary (opens in a new tab)Blog: ‘Finding your niche’ (opens in a new tab)Interview with DeutschlandFunk (opens in a new tab)
Friendly foes: the evolution of host protection by a parasite
Ashby B & King KC (2017) Friendly foes: the evolution of host protection by a parasite. Evol. Lett. 1:211-221.
Read abstractRead online (opens in a new tab)PDFBlog: 'Parasites inside your body could be protecting you from disease' (opens in a new tab)
Multi-mode fluctuating selection in host–parasite coevolution
Ashby B & Boots M (2017) Multi-mode fluctuating selection in host–parasite coevolution. Ecology Letters. 20:357-365.
The diversity-generating benefits of a prokaryotic adaptive immune system
van Houte S, Ekroth A, Broniewski JM, Chabas H, Ashby B, Bondy-Denomy J, Gandon S, Boots M, Paterson S, Buckling A & Westra ER (2016) The diversity-generating benefits of a prokaryotic adaptive immune system. Nature. 532:385-388.
Read abstractRead online (opens in a new tab)PDFFeatured in Current Biology (opens in a new tab)
Journal articles: Pre 2016
Coevolution of parasite virulence and host mating strategies
Ashby B & Boots M (2015) Coevolution of parasite virulence and host mating strategies. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA. 112:13290-13295.
Read abstractRead online (opens in a new tab)PDFAccompanying commentary: 'When sex makes you sick' (opens in a new tab)(PDF)Research highlight (opens in a new tab)(PDF)
Diversity and the maintenance of sex by parasites
Ashby B & King KC (2015) Diversity and the maintenance of sex by parasites. J Evol. Biol. 28:511-520.
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Population mixing promotes arms race host-parasite coevolution
Gómez P, Ashby B & Buckling A (2015) Population mixing promotes arms race host-parasite coevolution. Proc. R. Soc. B. 282:20142297.
Effects of epistasis on infectivity range during host-parasite coevolution
Ashby B, Gupta S & Buckling A (2014) Effects of epistasis on infectivity range during host-parasite coevolution. Evolution. 68:2972-2982.
Parasitic castration promotes coevolutionary cycling but also imposes a cost on sex
Ashby B & Gupta S (2014) Parasitic castration promotes coevolutionary cycling but also imposes a cost on sex. Evolution. 68:2234-2244.
Spatial structure mitigates fitness costs in host-parasite coevolution
Ashby B, Gupta S & Buckling A (2014) Spatial structure mitigates fitness costs in host-parasite coevolution. Am. Nat. 183: E64-E74.
Read abstractRead online (opens in a new tab)PDFFeatured in Evolutionary Applications (opens in a new tab)(PDF)
Sexually transmitted infections in polygamous mating systems
Ashby B & Gupta S (2013) Sexually transmitted infections in polygamous mating systems. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. B. 368:20120048.
Pathogen selection drives nonoverlapping associations between HLA loci
Penman BS, Ashby B, Buckee CO & Gupta S (2013) Pathogen selection drives nonoverlapping associations between HLA loci. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA. 110:19645-19650.
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Exploring children’s attitudes towards mathematics
Ashby B (2009) Exploring children’s attitudes towards mathematics. Proc. Brit. Soc. Res. Learn. Math. 29:7-12.
Book chapters
Parasite-mediated sexual selection: to mate or not to mate?
Pirrie A., Chapman H. & Ashby B (2022) ‘Parasite-mediated sexual selection: to mate or not to mate?’ in Ezenwa V.O., Altizer, S. & Hall R. (ed.) Animal Behavior and Parasitism. Oxford Univ. Press, Oxford, UK. pp. 151-168
Sexually transmitted infections in natural populations: what have we learnt from beetles and beyond?
Ashby B, Jones J, Knell RJ & Hurst GDD (2019) ‘Sexually transmitted infections in natural populations: what have we learnt from beetles and beyond?’ in Wilson K, Fenton A, & Tompkins D. (ed.) Wildlife Disease Ecology: Linking Theory to data and application. Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, UK. pp. 187-222.
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Graduate theses
The effects of contact patterns and genetic specificity on host and parasite evolution
Ashby B (2014) The effects of contact patterns and genetic specificity on host and parasite evolution.
